Apollo
Investment Management
An e-mail received from one of our brokers sets out important new operating procedures:
Capitalism with Communist Characteristics
The recent efforts of the Chinese authorities to prop up their stock market have been pretty comprehensive
and widely commented upon. They are also getting imaginative. They include:
Forbidding short selling
Telling state pension funds to put 30% of their assets in stocks
Lowering interest rates
Telling brokers to give forbearance on margin calls ie don't liquidate the punters just coz they can't pay
Forbidding major shareholders and directors of listed companies from selling for six months
Getting brokers to use their own capital to buy and hold until the market goes back up
Getting fund managers to buy
Getting the owners of fund management companies to buy with their own cash
Allowing companies to suspend exchange trading in their shares so that they cannot drop further
I've probably missed a few more.
Now don't think that I am suggesting that this sort of thing never happens in the west. We all remember
the Hong Kong Monetary Authority controversially using public money to prop up the stock market
in 1998. We are still living with the cost of the Fed bailing out their mates at Goldman, Merrill, Morgan Stanley,
etc, etc to stop them going broke. Then back in 1980 Comex changed the rules of the silver market to screw
Bunker Hunt and save the shirts of the big traders. In 1970 the Paris sugar market changed the rules when
speculators were (for once) on the right side of a big price move which would have bankrupted exchange
members. They simply declared the price rise to constitute force majeure and announced that all open trades
would be closed out at a backdated, much lower, price which shafted the punters but kept the insiders solvent.
So we have a long history of manipulative practices of our own.
Interestingly, in this instance the Chinese are actually supporting the private punters at the expense of the
big boys. This is true socialism. I love it.
In a spirit of patriotism and support I have decided that we will institute the following measures. Until further notice none of my clients will be allowed to sell any shares that I own without my express prior approval.
This will obviously be withheld until I have decided whether or not I want to sell first.
All the very best from
Grumpy
Hong Kong
9 July 2015
"Grumpy" is also known as Clive Rigby (SFC license CE number AAD724).
He is Managing Director of Lippo Securities and Lippo Futures in Hong Kong, and trades for international clients on worldwide markets. He can be contacted on rigby@lipposec.com
Previous reports:
- 12 Apr 15 Lower growth
& challenging markets: 1Q15 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 9 Jan 15 Headwinds
now, major changes ahead: 4Q14 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 19 Oct 14 FX headwinds &
unheeded duties of care: 3Q14 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 3 Jul 14 Coal-fired
growth: 2Q14 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 20 Jun 14 Considering
oil palm plantations
- 18 Apr 14 World in flux:
1Q14 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 10 Jan 14 The next three
decades may be different: 4Q13 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 3 Oct 13 Overcomplexity
to dysfunctionality: 3Q13 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 7 Jul 13 Ominous tremours:
2Q13 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 6 Apr 13 Good governance
is vital: 1Q13 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 22 Jan 13 Gaps in the
canopy: suggestions for HSBC's forest policy
- 16 Jan 13 Markets
expensive, complacency dangerous: 4Q12 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 12 Oct 12 Cognitive
dissonance: 3Q12 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 16 Jul 12 The imprecision
of vital statistics: 2Q12 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 4 Apr 12 Nifty
valuations: 1Q12 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 8 Jan 12 The primacy
of resilience: 4Q11 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 16 Oct 11 Not a normal cycle:
3Q11 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 26 Jul 11 Open letter
to Securities Commission Malaysia: feedback on Corporate Governance Blueprint
2011
- 22 Jul 11 Bureaucracy and
overcomplexity: 2Q11 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 8 Apr 11 World in
upheaval: 1Q11 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 8 Jan 11 Unsustainable
growth: 4Q10 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 8 Oct 10 More bull:
3Q10 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 4 Jul 10 Real-world
turbulence, market lull: 2Q10 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 5 Apr 10 Limits to
growth: 1Q10 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 23 Mar 10 Energy for Asia:
an overview
- 11 Jan 10 Dangerous times:
4Q09 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 5 Oct 09 Vertigo again:
3Q09 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 6 Jul 09 A major bounce:
2Q09 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 7 Apr 09 Falling prices,
long-term value: 1Q09 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 6 Jan 09 Tortoise
still crawling: 4Q08 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 6 Oct 08 Crisis and
opportunity: 3Q08 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 7 Aug 08 Thai
dividend taxation and NVDRs
- 13 Jul 08 Tectonic shifts:
2Q08 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 10 Apr 08 The turn of the
stockpicker: 1Q08 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 11 Jan 08 More interesting
times: 4Q07 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 8 Oct 07 Complacency
and euphoria: 3Q07 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 6 Jul 07 The
fully-invested bear: 2Q07 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 13 Apr 07 The case for
long holidays: 1Q07 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 6 Jan 07 Thai-phoon
battered: 4Q06 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 6 Oct 06 Snakes and
ladders: 3Q06 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 5 Jul 06 To the top
and down: 2Q06 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 7 Apr 06 Climbing a wall
of irritations: 1Q06 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 7 Jan 06 Slower growth,
relative value: 4Q05 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 4 Oct 05 Liquidity
and haze: 3Q05 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 5 Jul 05 Calm before
the storm?: 2Q05 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 4 Apr 05 Limitations
in a growing investible universe: 1Q05 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 7 Jan 05 A time to
recognise good fortune: 4Q04 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 10 Oct 04 North-east
monsoon approaching: 3Q04 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 9 Oct 04 Accounting
& disclosure issues in Asia
- 6 Jul 04 Relative
calm: 2Q04 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 4 Apr 04 Risk
warnings still in force: 1Q04 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 7 Jan 04 Fun
while it lasts: 4Q03 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 4 Oct 03 Rise
extended: 3Q03 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 4 Jul 03 Apollo
in wonderland: 2Q03 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 6 Apr 03 Turbulent
times, but underlying growth continued: 1Q03 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 10 Mar 03 Pirates attempt
to seize whole Armada: pitfalls of investing in Malaysia
- 3 Jan 03 A new
high & cautious optimism: 4Q02 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 17 Oct 02 Relative
resilience: 3Q02 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 8 Jul 02 A good
harbour: 2Q02 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 4 Apr 02 Awash
with liquidity: 1Q02 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 4 Jan 02 Steady
as she goes: 4Q01 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 10 Oct 01 Resilience
in adversity: 3Q01 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 5 Jul 01 Prices
more volatile, value still compelling: 2Q01 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 3 May 01 Opportunities
for selective investors in Asia: article for the Gloom, Boom & Doom
Report
- 13 Apr 01 Earnings
yield 19%; some risk discounted: 1Q01 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 5 Jan 01 High
seas now evident - how we navigate: 4Q00 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 10 Oct 00 Tidal waves
forecast, two stocks revisited: 3Q00 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 6 Jul 00 Price
stagnation, sensational valuation: 2Q00 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 9 Apr 00 A Pacific
Century - if not for Cyberworks: 1Q00 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 9 Jan 00 Excellent
values for interesting times: 4Q99 report for Apollo Asia Fund
- 11 Dec 99 Angel of
mercy, or falling angel? Strange happenings at Quality HealthCare
- 14 Nov 99 Apollo Asia
Fund: key terms & summary of features (updated 21 Oct 02)
- 18 Oct 99 Interesting
times ahead! & hence, opportunity: 3Q99 report for the Apollo 001
Fund
- 16 Sep 99 Opacity,
the Asian way? Stock exchange responsibilities on disclosure
- 6 Sep 99 The
all-way case for Asian investment
- 5 Sep 99 Our
type of company - and our type of valuation. A two-stock comparison
- 5 Sep 99 UAF
& Euroclear: lessons and issues
- 4 Sep 99 More
on dollar cost averaging
- 27 Jul 99 After gains,
value persists: 2Q99 report for the Apollo 001 Fund
- 6 May 99 Portfolio
value: an update
- 30 Apr 99 Investment
grade markets, and the imperatives of the herd
- 18 Apr 99 Value, not
momentum: extracts of 1Q99 report for the Apollo 001 Fund
- 3 Mar 99 Perfidious
Thais
- 16 Jan 99 The benefits
of dollar cost averaging
- 16 Jan 99 How good
is the investment case for Asia now?
- 31 Dec 98 Extracts
of manager's 4Q98 report for the Apollo 001 Fund
- 27 Dec 98 Nuggets on
rereading my book, Asia's Investment Prophets